The Case for Conglomerates

The case for conglomerates can be summed up in one word: diversification. According to financial theory, because the business cycle affects industries in different ways, diversification results in a reduction of investment risk. A downturn suffered by one subsidiary, for instance, can be counterbalanced by stability, or even expansion, in another venture. In other words, if Berkshire Hathaway's brick-making division has a bad year, the loss might be offset by a good year in its insurance business.

At the same time, a successful conglomerate can show consistent earnings growth by acquiring companies whose shares are more lowly rated than its own. In fact, GE and Berkshire Hathaway have both promised − and delivered − double digit earnings growth by applying this investment growth strategy.

The Case against Conglomerates
However, the prominent success of conglomerates such as GE and Berkshire Hathaway is hardly proof that conglomeration is always a good idea. There are plenty of reasons to think twice about investing in these stocks.
Investment guru Peter Lynch uses the phrase "diworsification" to describe companies that diversify into areas beyond their core competencies. A conglomerate can often be an inefficient, jumbled affair. No matter how good the management team, its energies and resources will be split over numerous businesses, which may or may not be synergistic.

For investors, conglomerates can be awfully hard to understand, and it can be a challenge to pigeonhole these companies into one category or investment theme. This means that even managers often have a hard time explaining their investment philosophy to shareholders. Furthermore, a conglomerate's accounting can leave a lot to be desired and can obscure the performance of the conglomerate's separate divisions. Investors' inability to understand a conglomerate's philosophy, direction, goals and performance can eventually lead to share underperformance.

While the counter-cyclical argument holds, there is also the risk that management will keep hold of businesses with poor performance, hoping to ride the cycle. Ultimately, lower-valued businesses prevent the value of higher-valued businesses from being fully realized in the share price.

What's more, conglomerates do not always offer investors an advantage in terms of diversification. If investors want to diversity risk, they can do so by themselves, by investing in a few focused companies rather than putting all of their money into a single conglomerate. Investors can do this far more cheaply and efficiently than even the most acquisitive conglomerate can.

Date: 2015-09-23; view: 326; Нарушение авторских прав